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Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

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The fourth “battlefield” is maybe the most critical: the ultimate global leader in AI will have institutions that effectively incorporate AI into their economy, society, and especially their military. The author comes off as somewhat antagonistic towards that country, mostly for that reason, but closes the book with the idea that war isn't inevitable.

My intuition says this is mostly more important than is deploying the AI technology that existed in 2022. It also keeps me humble as to how much there is on the topic of artificial intelligence to understand, a sentiment shared by even the most expert voices in this field of technology. Scharre accurately discusses the Trump and Biden administrations' anti-China policies, but leaves out the crucial policy shift under Obama. Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence by Paul Scharre is one of the best books I've read on the topic.Fortune 500 CEOs won’t like Desmond’s message for rewriting the social contract—which is precisely the point. Scharre then weaves this information together with his core thesis: that AI will have as transformative an impact on power and warfare as past industrial revolutions. That being said, the first chapter detailed a lot of worry and intensity around these authoritarian regimes and what they are doing and planning with AI. On an unrelated note, I felt like the big idea of this book (referenced in the title) was somewhat underdeveloped.

I struggled to identify a red line that goes through all the empirical detail that the author presents. The American system is disaggregated and somewhat chaotic, but it attracts the best talent and is capable of radical breakthroughs.Scharre does seem to understand this and points out frequently how the quality of data used to train models impacts the quality of predictions.

The levels of compute and equipment needed, furthermore, is potentially unsustainable for private AI labs, possibly shifting the burden to governments keen on harnessing AI. This book will likely help the military keep from falling too far behind in its understanding of AI. And witnessing the almost urgent efforts within some MENA states, like the UAE and Saudi Arabia, to digitally transform within shifting geopolitical dynamics is to recognize that such states are not “ passive participants” in the age of AI, but attentive, forward-looking actors embracing technological initiatives for the sake of national development, a point consistent with Four Battlegrounds’ core thesis.

Four Battlegrounds straddles two lines of thought: the transformative impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on power and warfare in the 21st century and the dangers AI presents to human freedoms, individual rights, and the meaning of truth and reality.

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